Author

Name:
João Tovar Jalles
Educations:
Ph D: University of Cambridge, Economics, 2011
Master: Warwick University, Economics, 2008
Bachelor: New University of Lisbon, Economics, 2006
e-mail:
jjalles@imf.org
Articles 58:

Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: A Time-Varying Approach
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Empirical Economics, vol. 58, 2020, p. 427-451.

Emissions and Economic Development in Commodity Exporting Countries
João Tovar Jalles, Jun Ge
Energy Economics, vol. 85, 2020, p. .

European Commission's Fiscal Forecasts in CEE Countries: A Thorough Assessment
João Tovar Jalles
Journal Of Economic Policy Reform, vol. 23, 2020, p. 161-183.

Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles
Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 72, 2020, p. 370-390.

Long-Run Relationship between Exports and Imports: Current Account Sustainability Tests for the EU
António Afonso, Florence Huart, João Tovar Jalles, Piotr Stanek
Portuguese Economic Journal, vol. 19, 2020, p. 155-170.

Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
International Review Of Economics And Finance, vol. 65, 2020, p. 1-16.

The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Centralization versus Decentralization 10 Years On
Luiz de Mello, João Tovar Jalles
Regional Studies, vol. 54, 2020, p. 942-957.

The Impact of Financial Crises on the Environment in Developing Countries
João Tovar Jalles
Annals Of Finance, vol. 16, 2020, p. 281-306.

Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union.
António Afonso, Florence Huart, João Tovar Jalles, Piotr Stanek
World Economy, vol. 42, 2019, p. 320-348.

Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample
João Tovar Jalles
Energy Policy, vol. 129, 2019, p. 880-895.

Cross-Country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes
João Tovar Jalles, Luiz de Mello
Review Of Development Economics, vol. 23, 2019, p. 1818-1839.

Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts' Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Open Economies Review, vol. 30, 2019, p. 133-156.

Fiscal Reaction Functions across the World: In Quest of Statistical (In)significance
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Finanzarchiv, vol. 75, 2019, p. 207-228.

Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Fiscal Studies, vol. 40, 2019, p. 71-90.

How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts
João Tovar Jalles
Ce Sifo Economic Studies, vol. 65, 2019, p. 44-67.

Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999
João Tovar Jalles
International Economic Journal, vol. 33, 2019, p. 719-740.

On the Time-Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What Shapes It?
João Tovar Jalles
Scottish Journal Of Political Economy, vol. 66, 2019, p. 605-630.

Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Journal Of International Financial Markets, Institutions And Money, vol. 58, 2019, p. 208-224.

The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Quarterly Review Of Economics And Finance, vol. 74, 2019, p. 129-147.

Do IMF Fiscal Forecasts Add Value?
Zidong An, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani , Ricardo Sousa
Journal Of Forecasting, vol. 37, 2018, p. 650-665.

Fiscal Rules and Fiscal Counter-cyclicality
João Tovar Jalles
Economics Letters, vol. 170, 2018, p. 159-162.

Single Currency and Fiscal Performance: The Early Euro Area in Perspective
João Tovar Jalles, Carlos Mulas-Granados, José Tavares, Carolina Correa Caro
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 25, 2018, p. 415-419.

The Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Human Development
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Journal Of International Development, vol. 30, 2018, p. 399-429.

What Determines the Share of Non-resident Public Debt Ownership? Evidence from Euro Area Countries
João Tovar Jalles
Annals Of Finance, vol. 14, 2018, p. 379-414.

China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
Davide Furceri, João Tovar Jalles, Aleksandra Zdzienicka
Open Economies Review, vol. 28, 2017, p. 413-429.

Euro Area Time-Varying Fiscal Sustainability
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
International Journal Of Finance And Economics, vol. 22, 2017, p. 244-254.

Fiscal Episodes and Market Power
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Open Economies Review, vol. 28, 2017, p. 233-250.

Forecasting Performance of Private Sector's Unemployment Forecasts in Advanced Economies
João Tovar Jalles
International Review of Applied Economics, vol. 31, 2017, p. 707-733.

Income Inequality, Fiscal Stimuli and Political (In)stability
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
International Tax And Public Finance, vol. 24, 2017, p. 484-511.

Model-Based vs. Professional Forecasts: Implications for Models with Nominal Rigidities
João Valle e Azevedo, João Tovar Jalles
Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol. 21, 2017, p. 130-159.

On the Rationality and Efficiency of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Market Economies
João Tovar Jalles
Research In International Business And Finance, vol. 40, 2017, p. 175-189.

Sovereign Debt Composition and Time-Varying Public Finance Sustainability
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
North American Journal Of Economics And Finance, vol. 42, 2017, p. 144-155.

Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Exploration
João Tovar Jalles
African Development Review/Revue Africaine De Developpement, vol. 29, 2017, p. 1-15.

The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
International Economic Journal, vol. 31, 2017, p. 36-50.

A New Theory of Innovation and Growth: The Role of Banking Intermediation and Corruption
João Tovar Jalles
Studies In Economics And Finance, vol. 33, 2016, p. 488-500.

Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 23, 2016, p. 1093-1098.

Economic Performance, Government Size, and Institutional Quality
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Empirica, vol. 43, 2016, p. 83-109.

Financial Stress and Sovereign Debt Composition
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 23, 2016, p. 678-683.

Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
Rui Pedro Esteves, João Tovar Jalles
Journal Of Money, Credit And Banking, vol. 48, 2016, p. 1515-1545.

Markups' Cyclical Behaviour: The Role of Demand and Supply Shocks
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 23, 2016, p. 1-5.

The Elusive Character of Fiscal Sustainability
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics, vol. 48, 2016, p. 2651-2664.

Do Debt Crises Boost Financial Reforms?
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 22, 2015, p. 356-360.

Fiscal Consolidation and Financial Reforms
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Applied Economics, vol. 47, 2015, p. 3740-3755.

Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 22, 2015, p. 925-929.

How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
International Journal Of Finance And Economics, vol. 20, 2015, p. 310-327.

Trade, Scale or Social Capital? Technological Progress in Poor and Rich Countries
João Tovar Jalles, José Tavares
Journal Of International Trade And Economic Development, vol. 24, 2015, p. 767-808.

What Determines the Likelihood of Structural Reforms?
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
European Journal of Political Economy, vol. 37, 2015, p. 129-145.

A Longer-Run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Empirica, vol. 41, 2014, p. 821-847.

Causality for the Government Budget and Economic Growth
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 21, 2014, p. 1198-1201.

Fiscal Adjustments, Labour Market Flexibility and Unemployment
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, João Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Economics Letters, vol. 124, 2014, p. 231-235.

Fiscal Composition and Long-Term Growth
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics, vol. 46, 2014, p. 349-358.

Respiratory Tuberculosis and Standards of Living in Postwar Europe
Sue Bowden, João Tovar Jalles, Álvaro Pereira, Alex Sadler
European Review Of Economic History, vol. 18, 2014, p. 57-81.

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 20, 2013, p. 34-40.

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
International Review Of Economics And Finance, vol. 25, 2013, p. 384-407.

The Cyclicality of Education, Health, and Social Security Government Spending
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 20, 2013, p. 669-672.

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 19, 2012, p. 1821-1826.

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles
Applied Financial Economics, vol. 22, 2012, p. 1053-1061.

Structural Change and Foreign Direct Investment: Globalization and Regional Economic Integration
Martin A. Andresen, Álvaro Pereira, João Tovar Jalles
Portuguese Economic Journal, vol. 11, 2012, p. 35-82.

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