Financial Crises and Climate Change
Joao Tovar Jalles
Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66, 2024, p. 166-190.

Pandemics and Economic Turmoil in the Short-Run: The Role of Fiscal Space
Joao Tovar Jalles
World Economy, vol. 47, 2024, p. 169-187.

Total Factor Productivity and Structural Reforms: Evidence from Advanced Economies Sector-Level Data
Joao Tovar Jalles
Manchester School, vol. 92, 2024, p. 122-147.

Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
Victor Barros, Joao Tovar Jalles, Joaquim Miranda Sarmento
Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65, 2023, p. 96-136.

For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Income Inequality
Serhan Cevik, Joao Tovar Jalles
Energy Policy, vol. 174, 2023, p. .

Macroeconomic Volatility and the Current Account: Extending the Evidence
Joao Tovar Jalles, Georgios Karras
Economic Modelling, vol. 125, 2023, p. .

Pandemics and Trade in the 21st Century: Evidence from Five Pre-Covid Pandemics
Joao Tovar Jalles, Georgios Karras
Open Economies Review, vol. 34, 2023, p. 895-918.

Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia.
Sanjeev Gupta, Joao Tovar Jalles
Asian Development Review, vol. 40, 2023, p. 271-303.

Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?
Emmanouil Kitsios, Joao Tovar Jalles, Genevieve Verdier
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 30, 2023, p. 1400-1406.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
Serhan Cevik, Joao Tovar Jalles
Open Economies Review, vol. 33, 2022, p. 89-108.

Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?
Sanjeev Gupta, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics, vol. 54, 2022, p. 2288-2301.

Do Credit Rating Agencies Reward Fiscal Prudence?
Joao Tovar Jalles
International Finance, vol. 25, 2022, p. 2-22.

Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ana Venâncio
Journal Of International Financial Markets, Institutions And Money, vol. 77, 2022, p. .

Do Tax Reforms Affect Income Distribution? Evidence from Developing Countries
Sanjeev Gupta, Joao Tovar Jalles
Economic Modelling, vol. 110, 2022, p. .

Emissions and Output: Evidence of Decoupling from Brazil
Joao Tovar Jalles
Journal Of Developing Areas, vol. 56, 2022, p. 43-64.

Heterogeneous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-Level Data
Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri, Joao Tovar Jalles
Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 74, 2022, p. 773-804.

Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri, Joao Tovar Jalles
Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 121, 2022, p. .

Private and Public Consumption: Substitutes or Complements?
Joao Tovar Jalles, Georgios Karras
Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 74, 2022, p. 805-819.

Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa and Its Determinants
Sanjeev Gupta, Joao Tovar Jalles, Jianhong Liu
International Tax and Public Finance, vol. 29, 2022, p. 890-921.

The (Non-)Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a Large Sample
António Afonso, José Alves, Joao Tovar Jalles
Economic Systems, vol. 46, 2022, p. .

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds
Serhan Cevik, Joao Tovar Jalles
Energy Economics, vol. 107, 2022, p. .

Trends and Cycles in CO2 Emissions and Incomes: Cross-Country Evidence on Decoupling
Gail Cohen , Joao Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani , Pietro Pizzuto
Journal of Macroeconomics, vol. 71, 2022, p. .

Twin Deficits Revisited: A Role for Fiscal Institutions?
António Afonso, Florence Huart, Joao Tovar Jalles, Piotr Stanek
Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 121, 2022, p. .

Dynamics of Government Spending Cyclicality
Joao Tovar Jalles
Economic Modelling, vol. 97, 2021, p. 411-427.

Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?
Joao Tovar Jalles, Carlos Mulas-Granados, José Tavares
Scottish Journal Of Political Economy, vol. 68, 2021, p. 155-178.

On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information
Zidong An, Joao Tovar Jalles
Journal Of Economic Studies, vol. 48, 2021, p. 367-391.

Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment
Joao Tovar Jalles
Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63, 2021, p. 84-116.

Recessions and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from Sectoral Data
Davide Furceri, Sinem Kilic Celik, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ksenia Koloskova
Economic Modelling, vol. 94, 2021, p. 130-138.

Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ana Venâncio
Open Economies Review, vol. 32, 2021, p. 1017-1061.

Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ana Venâncio
Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63, 2021, p. 356-383.

A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle
Joao Tovar Jalles
Finanzarchiv, vol. 76, 2020, p. 240-265.

A Note on Inflation Dynamics, Price Volatility, and Fiscal Activism
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol. 24, 2020, p. 1299-1313.

Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: A Time-Varying Approach
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Empirical Economics, vol. 58, 2020, p. 427-451.

Emissions and Economic Development in Commodity Exporting Countries
Joao Tovar Jalles, Jun Ge
Energy Economics, vol. 85, 2020, p. .

European Commission's Fiscal Forecasts in CEE Countries: A Thorough Assessment
Joao Tovar Jalles
Journal Of Economic Policy Reform, vol. 23, 2020, p. 161-183.

Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence
Joao Tovar Jalles
International Finance, vol. 23, 2020, p. 297-323.

Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri, Joao Tovar Jalles
Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 72, 2020, p. 370-390.

Long-Run Relationship between Exports and Imports: Current Account Sustainability Tests for the EU
António Afonso, Florence Huart, Joao Tovar Jalles, Piotr Stanek
Portuguese Economic Journal, vol. 19, 2020, p. 155-170.

On the Determinants of the Okun's Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
Davide Furceri, Joao Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani
Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62, 2020, p. 661-700.

Social Expenditure Cyclicality: New Time-Varying Evidence in Developing Economies
Joao Tovar Jalles
Economic Systems, vol. 44, 2020, p. .

Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 27, 2020, p. 1611-1616.

Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
International Review Of Economics And Finance, vol. 65, 2020, p. 1-16.

The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles, Mina Kazemi
International Review of Law and Economics, vol. 63, 2020, p. .

The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Centralization versus Decentralization 10 Years On
Luiz de Mello, Joao Tovar Jalles
Regional Studies, vol. 54, 2020, p. 942-957.

The Impact of Financial Crises on the Environment in Developing Countries
Joao Tovar Jalles
Annals Of Finance, vol. 16, 2020, p. 281-306.

Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union.
António Afonso, Florence Huart, Joao Tovar Jalles, Piotr Stanek
World Economy, vol. 42, 2019, p. 320-348.

Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample
Joao Tovar Jalles
Energy Policy, vol. 129, 2019, p. 880-895.

Cross-Country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes
Joao Tovar Jalles, Luiz de Mello
Review of Development Economics, vol. 23, 2019, p. 1818-1839.

Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts' Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Open Economies Review, vol. 30, 2019, p. 133-156.

Fiscal Reaction Functions across the World: In Quest of Statistical (In)significance
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Finanzarchiv, vol. 75, 2019, p. 207-228.

Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Fiscal Studies, vol. 40, 2019, p. 71-90.

How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts
Joao Tovar Jalles
Ce Sifo Economic Studies, vol. 65, 2019, p. 44-67.

Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999
Joao Tovar Jalles
International Economic Journal, vol. 33, 2019, p. 719-740.

On the Time-Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What Shapes It?
Joao Tovar Jalles
Scottish Journal Of Political Economy, vol. 66, 2019, p. 605-630.

Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Journal Of International Financial Markets, Institutions And Money, vol. 58, 2019, p. 208-224.

The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Quarterly Review Of Economics And Finance, vol. 74, 2019, p. 129-147.

Do IMF Fiscal Forecasts Add Value?
Zidong An, Joao Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani , Ricardo Sousa
Journal Of Forecasting, vol. 37, 2018, p. 650-665.

Fiscal Rules and Fiscal Counter-cyclicality
Joao Tovar Jalles
Economics Letters, vol. 170, 2018, p. 159-162.

Single Currency and Fiscal Performance: The Early Euro Area in Perspective
Joao Tovar Jalles, Carlos Mulas-Granados, José Tavares, Carolina Correa Caro
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 25, 2018, p. 415-419.

The Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Human Development
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Journal Of International Development, vol. 30, 2018, p. 399-429.

What Determines the Share of Non-resident Public Debt Ownership? Evidence from Euro Area Countries
Joao Tovar Jalles
Annals Of Finance, vol. 14, 2018, p. 379-414.

China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
Davide Furceri, Joao Tovar Jalles, Aleksandra Zdzienicka
Open Economies Review, vol. 28, 2017, p. 413-429.

Euro Area Time-Varying Fiscal Sustainability
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
International Journal Of Finance And Economics, vol. 22, 2017, p. 244-254.

Fiscal Episodes and Market Power
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Open Economies Review, vol. 28, 2017, p. 233-250.

Forecasting Performance of Private Sector's Unemployment Forecasts in Advanced Economies
Joao Tovar Jalles
International Review of Applied Economics, vol. 31, 2017, p. 707-733.

Income Inequality, Fiscal Stimuli and Political (In)stability
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
International Tax and Public Finance, vol. 24, 2017, p. 484-511.

Model-Based vs. Professional Forecasts: Implications for Models with Nominal Rigidities
João Valle e Azevedo, Joao Tovar Jalles
Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol. 21, 2017, p. 130-159.

On the Rationality and Efficiency of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Market Economies
Joao Tovar Jalles
Research In International Business And Finance, vol. 40, 2017, p. 175-189.

Sovereign Debt Composition and Time-Varying Public Finance Sustainability
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
North American Journal Of Economics And Finance, vol. 42, 2017, p. 144-155.

Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Exploration
Joao Tovar Jalles
African Development Review/Revue Africaine De Developpement, vol. 29, 2017, p. 1-15.

The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
International Economic Journal, vol. 31, 2017, p. 36-50.

A New Theory of Innovation and Growth: The Role of Banking Intermediation and Corruption
Joao Tovar Jalles
Studies In Economics And Finance, vol. 33, 2016, p. 488-500.

Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 23, 2016, p. 1093-1098.

Economic Performance, Government Size, and Institutional Quality
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Empirica, vol. 43, 2016, p. 83-109.

Financial Stress and Sovereign Debt Composition
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 23, 2016, p. 678-683.

Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
Rui Pedro Esteves, Joao Tovar Jalles
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, vol. 48, 2016, p. 1515-1545.

Markups' Cyclical Behaviour: The Role of Demand and Supply Shocks
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 23, 2016, p. 1-5.

The Elusive Character of Fiscal Sustainability
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics, vol. 48, 2016, p. 2651-2664.

Do Debt Crises Boost Financial Reforms?
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 22, 2015, p. 356-360.

Fiscal Consolidation and Financial Reforms
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Applied Economics, vol. 47, 2015, p. 3740-3755.

Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 22, 2015, p. 925-929.

How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
International Journal Of Finance And Economics, vol. 20, 2015, p. 310-327.

Trade, Scale or Social Capital? Technological Progress in Poor and Rich Countries
Joao Tovar Jalles, José Tavares
Journal Of International Trade And Economic Development, vol. 24, 2015, p. 767-808.

What Determines the Likelihood of Structural Reforms?
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
European Journal of Political Economy, vol. 37, 2015, p. 129-145.

A Longer-Run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Empirica, vol. 41, 2014, p. 821-847.

Causality for the Government Budget and Economic Growth
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 21, 2014, p. 1198-1201.

Fiscal Adjustments, Labour Market Flexibility and Unemployment
Luca Agnello, Vitor Castro, Joao Tovar Jalles, Ricardo Sousa
Economics Letters, vol. 124, 2014, p. 231-235.

Fiscal Composition and Long-Term Growth
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics, vol. 46, 2014, p. 349-358.

Respiratory Tuberculosis and Standards of Living in Postwar Europe
Sue Bowden, Joao Tovar Jalles, Álvaro Pereira, Alex Sadler
European Review Of Economic History, vol. 18, 2014, p. 57-81.

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 20, 2013, p. 34-40.

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
International Review Of Economics And Finance, vol. 25, 2013, p. 384-407.

The Cyclicality of Education, Health, and Social Security Government Spending
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 20, 2013, p. 669-672.

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Economics Letters, vol. 19, 2012, p. 1821-1826.

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations
António Afonso, Joao Tovar Jalles
Applied Financial Economics, vol. 22, 2012, p. 1053-1061.

Structural Change and Foreign Direct Investment: Globalization and Regional Economic Integration
Martin A. Andresen, Álvaro Pereira, Joao Tovar Jalles
Portuguese Economic Journal, vol. 11, 2012, p. 35-82.